WSJ: Public Confidence in Obama Dropping

The Wall Street Journal is reporting that confidence in Obama is rapidly dropping. Obama’s numbers have now dropped to the point that they are lower than President Bush in this point in 2001. His net approval rating was as low as +6% this week according to Rasmussen. The article points out multiple signs of trouble in the polling data:

Americans Losing Confidence in Congress

Another interesting poll from Rasmussen:

67% trust their judgment more than the average member of Congress. Even more surprising 44% think a group of people randomly selected from the phone book could address the nation’s problems better than Congress! Only 37% disagree with them. This does not bode well for the Democrats so early into holding majorities in the House, Senate, and Presidency.

It is clear that …

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Posted under Economy

Written by admin on February 11, 2009

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Only 20% Want Stimulus Passed As Is

Rasmussen released a poll showing that only 20% want the stimulus plan passed as it stands today.  62% actually believe that more tax cuts should be added to the plan and the spending should be cut.  Only 14% believe that there should be more spending in the plan and less tax cuts.

If ever there was a clear message that the public believes Conservatism is the answer to …

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Posted under Economy

Written by admin on February 10, 2009

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Presidential Poll Accuracy Revealed

Fordham has provided this list of polls and their accuracy compared to the real election.  As expected, the polls overestimated Democratic support, but only by 1.37 percent.  23 polls overestimated Obama’s strength, only 4 polls overestimated McCain’s.  Rasmussen and Pew got the election spot on!

The List
1(T). Rasmussen (11/1-3)
1(T). Pew (10/29-11/1)
3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)
6(T). Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)
6(T). ARG (10/25-27)
8(T). CNN (10/30-11/1)
8(T). Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
12. Democracy Corps …

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Posted under Economy

Written by admin on November 6, 2008

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Exit Polling and State Calls Favoring Obama

New Mexico has just been called for Obama.  With Pennsylvania going early to Obama, numbers are looking worse for McCain.

It appears that my early instincts on the states to watch were correct.  At this point, if McCain loses Virginia, Ohio, Florida, Missouri, or Colorado, it will be safe to call this race.

On the Senate side of things, the Democrats have only picked up 3 …

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Posted under Election

Written by admin on November 4, 2008

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