RWNJ » McCain

Exit Polling and State Calls Favoring Obama

admin — Wed, 05 Nov 2008 02:08:41 +0000

New Mexico has just been called for Obama. With Pennsylvania going early to Obama, numbers are looking worse for McCain.

It appears that my early instincts on the states to watch were correct. At this point, if McCain loses Virginia, Ohio, Florida, Missouri, or Colorado, it will be safe to call this race.

On the Senate side of things, the Democrats have only picked up 3 seats so far. It appears that they won’t be able to hit that filibuster-proof number of 60 barring a miracle.

Video: McCain’s Apperance on SNL

admin — Sun, 02 Nov 2008 18:46:33 +0000

In case anyone missed the McCain appearance on Saturday Night Live last night, here are the clips. This wasn’t publicised as well as Palin’s appearance, but I did find it to be very humorous. Preliminary ratings show a 9.0 rating/20 share according to Neilsen. It’s the second best showing for SNL since 1997. The best is still Palin’s appearance which got 10.7 rating/24 share.

All Three Presidential Debates Together

admin — Sun, 02 Nov 2008 14:41:22 +0000

Interesting video I came across compiling the three Presidential debates.

McCain Leads Obama in Zogby 1-Day Poll

admin — Sat, 01 Nov 2008 13:37:34 +0000

Momentum appears to have continued for McCain as the latest Zogby poll shows that McCain has a 1 point lead in 1-day polling (48-47). The three-day poll has held steady (at 49-44 Obama), but that is due to a good day of polling Obama had 3 days ago. Another good day of polling for McCain will show the three-day poll tighten dramatically.

McCain has made inroads with women, most likely conservative women put off by Obama’s continued support of a “spread the wealth” philosophy. He has also cut into independents and now even leads with blue collar voters.

The election could really turn into a nail-biter, but then again the disparity in the polls could be evidence that the polls are not indicative of how this race will end up.

Rasmussen: McCain More Trusted on Economy and Taxes

admin — Thu, 30 Oct 2008 13:10:58 +0000

A surprising Rasmussen poll shows McCain is now polling ahead of Obama on the economy and taxes. A month ago, McCain was polling 3 points behind on taxes. Currently, he is polling 2 points ahead. Obama seems to have hurt himself some with his answer to Joe the Plumber of “spreading the wealth around”. A month ago, McCain was 9 points behind on the economy. Now, he is 1 point ahead.

While these are small margins, it is yet more evidence that McCain is gaining momentum entering the election.

Obama Fundraising Falling, McCain Close in Cash

admin — Fri, 24 Oct 2008 15:45:01 +0000

With the polls narrowing and momentum appearing to shift towards McCain, now is not the time to start having fundraising problems for Obama. According to the Associated Press, Obama only raised $36 million in the first two weeks of October. That’s drastically slower than the $150 he raised in September. In that same two week October period, he spent $105 million, double the spending pace he had in September.

According to The Patriot Room, McCain is only trailing Obama by about $10 million in funds. That could tighten up the advertising exposure, a key for changing the minds of undecided voters this late in the race.

Zogby Polls Narrow to Under 3 Points

admin — Sun, 19 Oct 2008 16:58:31 +0000

The latest Zogby pollshows McCain has decreased his deficit to only 2.7% (within the error margin of 2.9%). This continues the 4 day trend of a narrowing Obama lead by the Zogby poll. McCain’s biggest gains have been in the independent voter category, cutting in half the gap there from 16% to 8%.

It appears that recent events, such as ACORN and Obama’s gaffe with Joe the Plumber are starting to show in the polls. McCain’s appearance on Letterman seems to have gone over well, helping his cause. Neither candidate should feel safe with 7.1% of the electorate still undecided. Once again, this race is taking on the look of a close run to the finish.

Rasmussen Shows Obama Up by 5

admin — Sat, 18 Oct 2008 14:19:50 +0000

The latest Rasmussen poll is showing Obama’s lead is 5. The state polls show McCain down 5 in Nevada, McCain down 6 in Missouri, McCain down 7 in Colorado and a tie here in Ohio. Polling is always questionable simply due to party weighting, but it’s interesting to watch the trends. The Rasmussen polls have been fairly steady, but other polls have been fluctuating and showing McCain closing the gap.

McCain Only Down 2 in Gallup Poll

admin — Fri, 17 Oct 2008 13:23:42 +0000

The latest Gallup Poll shows McCain has shrunk Obama’s lead. McCain now trails Obama 47-49 among likely voters. Perhaps Obama’s exposed “share the wealth views” (thanks to Joe the plumber) is starting to push him down a bit.