Murtha in Statistical Tie in Race

Pittsburgh Live reports that Murtha is in a statistical tie with opponent Bill Russell.  Russell trails by 4 points, within the poll’s margin of error of 4.9 points.

It appears that many in Pennsylvania were put off by Murtha’s reference to his constituents being racist.  Later he clarified his statement and called them rednecks.  He put his foot in his mouth before saying that Marines were killing Iraqi civilians in cold blood (apparently a big reason Russell chose to run against him).

54% of those polled said that they are ready for a change and 35% said Murtha deserved to be re-elected.  Murtha won by 20 points in 2006.  This election looks to be quite a change with a serious challenge in Russell (a veteran himself).

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Posted under Election

Written by admin on October 23, 2008

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Code Pink Anti-War Protester Attempts Citizens Arrest on Rove

58-year-old Janine Boneparth, an anti-war protester in San Francisco pulled out handcuffs and attempted to arrest Karl Rove for treason at a debate today.  Her name may sound familiar as she’s been involved in the anti-war movement for some time (this topless protest in DC is an example).

She apparently walked onto stage and complained there was no woman on the panel.  Then she pulled out the handcuffs and was quickly pulled off the stage.  Five Code Pink protesters were removed from the hall during the appearance, but apparently none will be charged.

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Posted under Stupidity

Written by admin on October 22, 2008

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Obama Robo Call Complaining About Robo Calls

OK, this is just funny and I had to post it.  A robo call that complains about robo calling.

Definitely the change we need!

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Posted under Election

Written by admin on October 22, 2008

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Presidential Polls All Over the Place

AP just released a poll of likely voters showing Obama 44 – McCain 43 among likely voters.  At the same time, FOXNews just released a poll of likely voters showing Obama 49 – McCain 40.  The AP poll did oversample Democrats, so it seems illogical for these polls to be so scattered.  Gallup’s poll has shown McCain closing the gap as well, now showing Obama 50 – McCain 45.  Yesterday, this poll was Obama 51 to McCain’s 44.

More telling, 80% of likely voters think McCain has the right experience to be President.  45% of likely voters believe that Obama does not have the right experience to be President.  When it comes down to the actual vote, this may play in people’s minds.  The risk of an inexperienced President is one that many voters will not be able to stomach.

Of course there are many that say the Bradley effect might make the polls even more useless than usual.  Given the inaccuracies of the pre-election polls (and even the exit polling) in 2000 and 2004, all polls should be taken with a grain of salt.  It’s even more the case when they are so inconsistent like they are now.

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Posted under Election

Written by admin on October 22, 2008

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Chabot and Driehaus Race Too Close to Call

Chabot is running for his 8th term from Ohio’s 1st District, but the most recent poll data I can find shows Driehaus is up by 2 points.  That’s within the margin of error and shows that this race is a dead heat.  Now, to make things a bit more interesting, tonight’s debate may not be televised because a write-in candidate has complained that he was being left out.

Although there is plenty in common with Chabot and Driehaus, there are many differences too.  Chabot voted against the bailout, Driehaus would have voted for it.  Chabot supports letting workers invest some of their Social Security money on their own, Driehaus doesn’t.  Chabot wants military leaders instead of lawmakers to make decisions on when to withdraw from Iraq, Driehaus wants to start “responsible, phased redeployment from Iraq.”

From what I can tell, aside from Issue 6, Chabot and Driehaus have the most local political ads on TV.  Finance reports showed that Chabot had raised $2.2 million to Driehaus’s $1.1 million.  I guess I’ll have to suffer through more ads before election day.

Chabot won a close race two years ago against John Cranley.  Chabot has the highest percentage of black constituents, 27.5%, of any Republican district in the state.  The race looks to be much more difficult this year than 2006.

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Posted under Election

Written by admin on October 22, 2008

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