First off, let me preface by saying that exit polling has been extremely unreliable. But, if you are itching to see what the night is going to bring, here are what I believe the key swing-state races are to watch tonight (times are Eastern).
7PM: Virginia is likely place to look for a McCain victory. Although it is possible for McCain to win without Virginia, it would be an uphill battle. Georgia and Indiana should be solidly in McCain’s column (despite what the polls have said). If he loses 2 of these three, it’s not going to be a good night for McCain.
7:30PM: Ohio, as usual of late, has the potential to be the deciding state in this election.
8PM: Missouri should fall to McCain and a win by Obama here is disaster for McCain. Pennsylvania has been a war zone of late for the election, and a win here by McCain would be a major blow to the Obama campaign. Given its independent nature, New Hampshire is a possibility for McCain, though I think a bit of a long-shot.
9PM: It should be clear if this will be a close race or not by this point. If it is still close, the race will hinge on a few states. Obama is looking to pick up Colorado, which looks to be a true toss-up at this point. New Mexico has been leaning towards Obama, but a McCain victory has a distant possibility. Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin are long-shots for McCain, but it’s his best chance at winning the election if he didn’t secure Pennsylvania.
10PM: Nevada is the last of the toss-ups, winnable by either candidate. By this point it’ll probably be clear where things lie in the race.
I predict it will either be a long night (good sign for McCain), or it’ll be over swiftly. A McCain sweep of Georgia, Indiana, Virginia, and Ohio will keep his hopes quite alive. Pennsylvania would likely tip the tide into his favor. These early battles will set the tone for the night.
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Posted under Election